Sometimes it’s easy to predict an incoming storm—all you have to do is
look outside and see the first dark clouds gathering in the distance. But tornados
can wreak havoc on the Midwest after a week of perfect skies and mild
temperatures. Preparation is key to staying safe in a storm, and at Paul Davis
Restoration/Emergency Services of (location), we are invested in your safety.
The sooner you know a storm is on its way, the sooner you can take the
necessary precautions to protect your family and your home. Take a look at our
list of how centuries of people have predicted the weather—and how today’s
experts really do it!
6 Mythical Ways to
Predict a Storm
MYTH: If
a dog starts to whine for no reason, you can expect a major storm like a
tornado.
Before computers, radars, televisions and radios, our ancestors relied
on their furry buddies to help warn them of incoming disasters. Many Midwestern
predictions were based on an ever-present barometer, their animal’s nose—they
thought that if Fido was wailing, a tornado must be in the air.
MYTH: Cats
predict windstorms by scratching a post and predict snow by sitting with their
back to the fire.
Farmers used to believe that a cat turned away from the fire was the
most telling sign for (region) farmers that an impending storm was near. Good
old Patches also could warn them of windstorms (if she was scratching a post)
or rainstorms (if she was washing her face).
MYTH: If a cat licks
its fur against the grain, a hailstorm is coming….
Before
radars existed, sailors brought cats on board to help predict the weather (and
to chase the rats that made their way into the sailors’ food supplies!). Hail
was on the way if the cat licked its fur against the grain. If the cat sneezed,
the sailors knew to prepare for rain, and if a cat was acting frisky, a
windstorm was brewing!
MYTH: If
the anthill is closed, a thunderstorm is on the way.
During the Zhou Dynasty (1046-256 BC) in China, people perfected the art
of weather prediction via animals. But they weren’t drawing conclusions from
cats and dogs—they were using insects! According to this proverb, a closed
anthill indicated a thunderstorm in the near future.
MYTH: Aching
knees predict a storm.
How many times has your grandma claimed to predict an incoming
storm—rain, snow or even a blizzard—with her aching knees? Research has shown
that a change in barometric pressure can cause joint pain, so while grandma’s
predictions certainly aren’t scientifically accurate, there may be some truth
in those sore knees!
MYTH: A
ring around the moon means rain or snow is coming.
An old folk legend states that if you see a ring around the moon, you
can predict rain or snow. Unfortunately, the ring around the moon is an optical
illusion—you’re actually seeing diffracted light rays hitting ice crystals in
our own atmosphere. So while the ring may
indicate that a storm is about to strike the (region), you’re better off
checking the radar to make a firm prediction!
How the Area Experts
Really Predict Storms in the (Region)
No cats, ants or knees here—today, meteorologists predict the weather
using radar, satellite and light detection (LIDAR) technology. With these
devices, meteorologists can see large air masses and where they’re forming over
the earth. Because air masses typically move quite predictably, scientists can
predict weather patterns and types fairly accurately. It’s when they try to
predict specific storms that things get a little less certain.
Tornados
As Midwestern residents know, tornados are notoriously difficult to
predict, since they form in such small areas of space under just the right
atmospheric conditions. 2011’s devastating tornado in Joplin, Missouri had a
30-minute lead-time. In other words, there were tornado watches, but one wasn’t
predicted until the storm actually showed up on the radar! We here at Paul
Davis find that a bit close for comfort and thankfully
scientists agree. Weather experts hope to one day advance the technology enough
to get an hour lead-time on a storm. For the time being, if there’s a tornado
warning in your area, know that you must act fast!
Blizzards
(Region) residents will be the first to tell you that blizzard
prediction is an inexact science! Blizzards depend on the arrival of a cold
front in conjunction with moisture and low atmospheric pressures. While
satellites and radars can predict these weather patterns a few weeks in
advance, those patterns can change very quickly. Things are literally “up in
the air” when these systems can either create a blizzard or bring in a warm
front instead!
Hail
Lucky for Midwesterners, hail prediction is fairly routine. Hail looks
like heavy rain on a Doppler radar, and a very science-y sounding Hail
Detection Algorithm allows meteorologists to analyze hail size data over time
to determine which parts of the storms will come with large hail and how severe
the storm will be. If your local weatherman is predicting hail, pay attention. He
knows what he’s talking about!
Paul Davis Restoration/Emergency Services of (location) serves the
following communities: (Lawrence, Topeka, Eudora, Baldwin City, Oskaloosa, Ozawkie, Tonganoxie, McLouth, Ottawa, Gardner, Northeast Kansas).
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